Among the three technology categories, AI Software will see its share of spending decline slightly in 2022.
Worldwide revenues for the artificial intelligence (AI) market, including software, hardware, and services, is forecast to grow 19.6 per cent year over year in 2022 to $US432.8 billion, according to the latest release of the International Data Corporation Worldwide Semi-annual Artificial Intelligence Tracker. The market is expected to break the $US500 billion mark in 2023.
“AI has emerged as the next major wave of innovation. AI solutions are currently focused on business process problems and range from human augmentation to process improvement to planning and forecasting, empowering superior decisioning and outcomes. Advancements in language, voice and vision technologies, and multi-modal AI solutions are revolutionizing human efficiencies,” said Ritu Jyoti, group vice president, Worldwide Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Automation Research at IDC. “Overall, AI plus human ingenuity is the differentiator for enterprises to scale and thrive in the era of compressed digital transformation.”
Among the three technology categories, AI Software will see its share of spending decline slightly in 2022 as spending for AI Hardware and Services grows more quickly. This trend will continue into 2023. Overall, AI Services is forecast to deliver the fastest spending growth over the next five years with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22 per cent while the CAGR for AI Hardware will be 20.5 per cent.
In the AI Software category, AI Applications accounted for 47 per cent of spending in the first half of 2021, followed by AI System Infrastructure Software with around 35 per cent share. In terms of growth, AI Platforms are expected to perform the best with a five-year CAGR of 34.6 per cent. The slowest growing segment will be AI System Infrastructure Software with a five-year CAGR of 14.1 per cent.
Within the AI Applications segment AI ERM is forecast to grow the fastest over the next several years relative to AI CRM and the rest of AI Applications. Among all the named software markets published in the Tracker, AI Lifecycle Software is forecast to see the fastest growth with a five-year CAGR of 38.9 per cent.
In the AI Services category, AI IT Services enjoyed 20.4 per cent year-over-year growth in the first half of 2021 with worldwide spending reaching $US18.4 billion. This growth is forecast to improve to 22 per cent in 2022 and remain there through the end of the forecast period. AI Business Services are not far behind in terms of growth with a five-year CAGR of 21.9 per cent. By 2025, IDC expects overall AI Services spending to reach $US52.6 billion.
“AI remains a key driver of IT investment, which in turn boosts spending on related services to ensure sustainable adoption at scale,” said Jennifer Hamel, research manager, Analytics, and Intelligent Automation Services. “Client demand for expertise in developing production-grade AI solutions drives IT services expansion, while the need to establish the right organization, governance, business process, and talent strategies spurs spending on business services.”
Relative to Software and Services, the AI Hardware category grew the most in terms of market share in the first half of 2021 with a jump of 0.5 per cent share. It is forecast to reach 5 per cent market share in 2022 with year-over-year growth of 24.9 per cent. AI Storage saw stronger growth relative to AI Server during the first half of 2021. However, this trend will be reversed in 2022 with AI Server expected to see 26.1 per cent growth compared to 19.7 per cent growth for AI Storage. In terms of spending share, AI Server holds the lion’s share of the category at over 80 per cent.
“Of all the spending in the various AI market segments, AI Hardware is by far the smallest,” said Peter Rutten, research vice president, Performance Intensive Computing at IDC. “What this should tell organizations is that nickel-and-diming purpose-built hardware for AI is absolutely counterproductive, especially given the fast-growing compute demand from increasing AI model sizes and complexities.”
The IDC Worldwide Semiannual Artificial Intelligence Tracker provides spending data and vendor share for the global AI solutions market on a semi-annual basis. The key technology categories – hardware, software, and services – are built on IDC’s comprehensive methodology involving vendor product, market, and workload modeling. AI revenues for over 750 companies are included in the Tracker, ensuring that the competitive landscape is well represented across all the three technology categories. Data is available for 27 countries and five rest-of regions. In the next release, scheduled for July 2022, IDC plans to further expand the Tracker with more market details, especially in the software category.
